I didn’t find this as difficult as I thought I might.
Standings after 7 rounds, in order by score, then rating:
color due has already been
history color paired against
1. 2712 Onischuk 5.5 WBWB WWB B 2,4,5,8,9
2. 2671 Shabalov 5.5 WBWB WBW B 1,4,5
3. 2612 Kudrin 5.0 WBWB WWB B 4
4. 2686 Kaidanov 4.5 BWBW BWB W 1,2,3,10
5. 2683 Ehlvest 4.5 WBWB BWB W 1,2,9
6. 2667 Shulman 4.5 BWWB WWB B 8
7. 2660 Gulko 4.5 BWBW BWB W 10
8. 2623 Ivanov 4.5 BWBW BWW B 1,6
9. 2611 Perelshteyn 4.5 BWBW WBB W 1,5
10. 2608 Becerra 4.5 WBWB WBB W 4,7
Once Onischuk has been paired against Kudrin, the remaining eight players are mostly due white (5 due white, 3 due black).
So, among the remaining eight, we certainly wouldn’t want to pair two due-blacks against each other, as this would further worsen the scarcity of due-blacks.
This means that Shabalov, rather than being paired against the top 4.5, should be paired against the top 4.5 who is due white. That player is Gulko. (Shabalov has already faced both Kaidanov and Ehlvest.)
Side note: If, in pairing a 5.5 against a 5.0, Shabalov (rather than Onischuk) were paired against Kudrin, the exact same thing would happen, since the colors are the same either way, and since Onischuk (like Shabalov) has already faced both Kaidanov and Ehlvest.
So far we have:
A. Onischuk vs Kudrin (both due black, Onischuk gets black)
B. Shabalov vs Gulko (Shabalov gets black)
If the remaining six are paired strictly top-half vs bottom-half, we have:
C. Kaidanov vs Ivanov (Kaidanov gets white)
D. Ehlvest vs Perelshteyn (both due white)
E. Shulman vs Becerra (Shulman gets black)
Note: All pairings are shown here with the higher-ranked (higher-scoring or higher-rated) player on the left.
But Ehlvest has already played Perelshteyn. Do we switch Perelshteyn with Ivanov, or with Becerra? Either way, it’s a 3-point rating switch.
Switching Perelshteyn with Becerra would result in an Ehlvest vs Becerra pairing. This is not good, as both Ehlvest and Becerra are strongly due white. (Becerra has just had 2 blacks, Ehlvest has just had 3 out of 4 blacks).
So the other transposition is better, and we end up with:
C. Kaidanov vs Perelshteyn (both due white, Perelshteyn gets white)
D. Ehlvest vs Ivanov (Ehlvest gets white)
E. Shulman vs Becerra (Shulman gets black)
Hmm, upon reading (rather than just skimming) jwiewel’s post, I see that we have come up with the exact same pairings, using the exact same logic – except that I feel more strongly than Jeff does that an Ehlvest-Becerra pairing should be avoided because of very bad colors.
Bill Smythe