There are a whole pile of mailed entries in the office that arrived over the weekend - and we expect some stragglers to still arrive from being mailed right at the first cutoff. They are working through the stack and the numbers will jump accordingly as those are processed.
I’m pretty sure that 12.2.1 does not apply here, unless there’s some sort of exchange program.
A friend and I visited the Marshall Chess Club on December 30 for some year-end G/30 tomfoolery. I noticed that Josh Altman had signed the visitors’ log there not too long before our visit: “Joshua Altman - ENGLAND”.
12.2.1 Full-time students enrolled in school in the United States or its territories for the entire semester in which the event is held.
12.2.2 U.S. citizens attending school abroad.
Boyd mentioned the possibility of dual citizenship. But even if he is from England with only U.K. citizenship so long as he is enrolled in a U.S. school (or in a U.S. territory) for this entire semester, can’t he compete?
If he is a US (or dual-US) citizen in school abroad it looks like he can compete. (12.2.2)
If is in a US (or US territories) school for this semester, regardless of whether or not he is a citizen, it looks like he can compete. (12.2.1)
However, he cannot be simultaneously in school abroad and in a US school. Thus 12.2.1 and 12.2.2 cannot be both satisfied. Satisfying either looks to be fine.
Heading down the stretch before making the final turn NY (854) is lengthening its lead while TX (232) and GA (241) are closing on IL (289) with TN (201) hanging in there planning on a late surge and MI (192) making its play.
I’ll also be curious to find out where the various TDs will be from. There is the overall chief, three division chiefs, the division floor chiefs, 20 sections that need chiefs, a back-room chief, 20 sections that need to be paired (four years ago that was spread over ten people), and a LOT of floor TDs needed.
I predict that the parent of one of the students he beats (OTB or for tiebreak prizes) will file a complaint anyway. the complaint, of course, will be based on residency and qualifications.
These may not be completely comparable numbers, because the cutoff dates may have been further out in 2009 than in 2013, but here are the number of registrations processed by week (based on the Friday the event starts as day 1 and working backwards) for Supernationals 4 in 2009 and Supernationals 5 in 2013 for the 10 weeks before the event:
Exactly one week ago it was 4012. Over lunch it was a bit under 4500. Now I see 4659 and rising. NY is at 923, TX surged this afternoon by more than 100 players to 356, MI surged this afternoon by more than 70 players to 303, IL to 301 (over lunch IL was in second with a 40-some lead over GA in third), GA to 254, TN to 246, FL to 217 and AZ to 167.
5000 looks very likely and 5500 quite plausible.
As the O.P. I went with 5450 and I’ll stick with that. With 4841 so far (IL passing MI to recapture third, TN pulling to within 2 of GA and threatening to take fifth), I’m figuring that tomorrow will pass 5000, the Sunday limit on the $70 entry fee will pass 5250 and the final count will pass my 5450 prediction.
The section counts are interesting. Currently it says 4853 players, but K-1 is 323, the K-3 sections come to 750 (257, 379, 114) and the K-5/K-6 sections come to 1343 (337, 361, 183, 301, 161) for 2416 in Elementary. The K-8 and K-9 sections come to 1093 in Junior High (236, 162, 293, 126, 212, 64). The K-12 sections come to 1346 in HS (305, 371, 375, 178, 117). That adds up; to 4855, not 4853.
